Topic: UFC 295

UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira

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Tapology
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07.07.2023 | 11:37 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 295
  • Saturday 11.11.2023 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Location: New York City, New York, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier, Megan Olivi
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $12,400,000
  • Attendance: 19,039
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alex Pereira   defeats   Jiří Procházka   via KO/TKO, Left Hook to Hammerfists and Elbows   4:08 Round 2 of 5, 9:08 Total Bout Page
Tom Aspinall   defeats   Sergei Pavlovich   via KO/TKO, Right Hook and Hammerfists   1:09 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Jéssica Andrade   defeats   Mackenzie Dern   via KO/TKO, Left Hook and Straight Right   3:15 Round 2 of 3, 8:15 Total Bout Page
Benoit Saint-Denis   defeats   Matt Frevola   via KO/TKO, Head Kick   1:31 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Diego Lopes   defeats   Pat Sabatini   via KO/TKO, Punches   1:30 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Steve Erceg   defeats   Alessandro Costa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lupita Godinez   defeats   Tabatha Ricci   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mateusz Rębecki   defeats   Roosevelt Roberts   via Submission, Armbar   3:08 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Nazim Sadykhov   vs.   Viacheslav Borshchev   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jared Gordon   defeats   Mark Madsen   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Punches   4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
John Castañeda   defeats   Kyung Ho Kang   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Joshua Van   defeats   Kevin Borjas   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jamall Emmers   defeats   Dennis Buzukja   via KO/TKO, Straight Right and Hammerfists   0:49 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 37

STOMPZ
STOMPZ
  • Member Since: 2022.09.26
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11.10.2023 | 6:34 PM ET

Andrade by Dec

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1410th

In other circumstances Andrade would win easily and would surpass Dern, now 5 fights in a year wow, she needs this victory, I still think she is a better fighter and I think she will win by Decision
foppa420
foppa420
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11.10.2023 | 6:58 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2231st

Jiri being even a slight dog to me is kind of absurd. I thought Poatan would come in around +150 or so. These odds are  insulting.

I love Poatan. He's a good fighter and seems like a really good dude too. I think all the success he's had recently is awesome but this fight isn't close for me on paper. 
STOMPZ
STOMPZ
  • Member Since: 2022.09.26
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11.10.2023 | 6:59 PM ET

Kevin borjas by tko round 3

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1410th

Here the power is on Borjas' side, his straight fists are powerful, I know they are in love with Joshua Van, he ate straight punches from his back but without power, Joshua Van has a simple style, once Borjas finds the distance everything will be over. The truth is, I don't think Joshua can withstand 15 minutes of savagery. I hope Joshua lands the first blow so Kevin Borjas explodes in the fight and everything becomes easier for him. They are underestimating Borjas.
ExpertAnalyst
ExpertAnalyst
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11.10.2023 | 7:01 PM ET

UFC - 295 - Jessica Andrade vs Mackenzie Dern

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 3559th

UFC-295 - Breakdown-2/2  - Jessica Andrade vs Mackenzie Dern
-
Striking = Andrade - 10

Technical Striking = Andrade 10-8 Dern
Power Striking = Andrade 10-9 Dern
Creative Striking = Andrade 10-8 Dern
Striking Defense = Andrade 10-10 Dern
-
Wrestling/Grappling = Dern - 10

Offensive = Andrade 8-10 Dern
Defensive = Andrade 9-10 Dern
-
Fight IQ = Andrade 10-10 Dern - Equal
-
Cardio = Andrade 10-10 Dern - Equal
-
Toughness = Andrade 10-10 Dern - Equal
-
Total = Andrade 1-1 Dern
-
My pick = Jessica Andrade. Went back and forth all week, even fight in a different sense. Dern has struggled against good strikers in the past in Yan and Marina. According to Ufc's stats, Jessica Andrade has the 3rd lowest bottom position percentage and 4th best takedown defense in that division which is very impressive. Since Dern's best work is done after the fight gets to the ground and Andrade doesn't go to the ground easily in that division, I am leaning towards Andrade but it's close. Andrade said she trained with Tatiana Suarez for this camp which can also play a role in how she deals with the submissions. But I doubt that will make a major difference considering Andrade is very impatient when she gets taken down and gives up submissions.


Stagger Lee
Stagger Lee
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11.10.2023 | 7:02 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 4821st

Procházka vs. Pereira
Jiří Procházka, SUB, R4
Boring split draw

Pavlovich vs. Aspinall
Sergei Pavlovich, TKO, R2
**** bigger than the Titanic

Andrade vs. Dern
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R3
Piledriver

Frevola vs. Saint-Denis
Matt Frevola, DEC
Dinosaur noises

Sabatini vs. Lopes
Pat Sabatini, TKO, R2
**** that guy's hair

Erceg vs. Costa
Steve Erceg, SUB
IT guy vs hair stylist

Ricci vs. Godinez
Tabatha Ricci, DEC
Whatever

Rębecki vs. Roberts
Roosevelt Roberts, DEC
Better hair

Sadykhov vs. Borshchev
Nazim Sadykhov, DEC
Random name generator

Gordon vs. Madsen
Jared Gordon, TKO
Shut up about the Olympics, Mark. This isn't the ******* Olympics

Kang vs. Castañeda
Kyung Ho Kang, DEC
If Kang is perfect, he must automatically also be very sexy & superior to the other guy in other ways

Van vs. Borjas
Joshua Van, DEC
They are going to have buttsex

Buzukja vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers
Favorite candy: M & Emmers

gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.10.2023 | 7:17 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 1783rd

I have Dern Andrade to go the distance. +170 for that one in a division where around 64% of fights goes the distance (-178). In all of their combined UFC fights they have around 55% finishes and 45% decisions so they do finish more than the average but I don't see a reason why the odds for it are that high.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

SolarCowboy
SolarCowboy
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11.10.2023 | 7:20 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1122nd

Rębecki vs. Roberts
Mateusz Rębecki, TKO, R1
rebecki

Sadykhov vs. Borshchev
Nazim Sadykhov, SUB, R1
u2.5 @ +2.50 Slava KO

Gordon vs. Madsen
Jared Gordon, DEC
gtd

Kang vs. Castañeda
Kyung Ho Kang, DEC
u2.5

Van vs. Borjas
Joshua Van, SUB, R2
u2.5

"Complicated Human in Search of Simplicity"

foppa420
foppa420
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11.10.2023 | 7:23 PM ET

@gliese

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2231st

The odds are that high because Andrade has been fighting with reckless abandon. 

She's been finished 3 times in a row. One of those was to Yan, who didn't have a finish yet in the UFC despite Andrade being her 10th fight in the promotion. 

I'm not saying it's a bad bet. I actually like the bet. But the odds are what they are because Andrade has been fighting like a kamikaze pilot. 
Tosh
Tosh
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11.10.2023 | 7:57 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 1304th

Lol what did I do, write the wrong name?  Ha.  I thought I said Roosevelt.  If I posted Pavlovich, it's the edibles talking.

"He who hesitates meditates in a horizontal position""

Latrel Dog
Latrel Dog
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11.10.2023 | 9:21 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 1613th

Damn, that staredown between Jiri and Poatan was something else ! Can't wait for Saturday night. LFG Poatan !


JJ MMA
JJ MMA
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11.10.2023 | 10:02 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 1830th

Frevola vs. Saint-Denis
Matt Frevola, TKO, R1
Right hook KO

Sabatini vs. Lopes
Diego Lopes, TKO, R1
Straight right to gnp tko

Erceg vs. Costa
Steve Erceg, DEC
29-28 UD

Ricci vs. Godinez
Tabatha Ricci, DEC
29-28 SD

Rębecki vs. Roberts
Mateusz Rębecki, TKO, R2
Left hook KO

Sadykhov vs. Borshchev
Nazim Sadykhov, SUB, R3
RNC

Gordon vs. Madsen
Mark Madsen, DEC
29-28 UD

Van vs. Borjas
Joshua Van, DEC
29-28 SD

Buzukja vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers, SUB, R2
RNC

"Lrz 4800 / | \"

BELM0NT
BELM0NT

11.10.2023 | 10:31 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2689th




gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.11.2023 | 12:06 AM ET

@foppa420

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 1783rd

Yeah I understand that. That's usually when I like a propbet of that nature. Something else has been the result a lot lately and the market decides that is the new reality now as opposed to looking at the results over a longer timespan.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

Hesoyam
Hesoyam
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11.11.2023 | 12:14 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 370 Points   |   Tied for 4214th

Jiri / Alex ITD
Tom / Sergei under 1.5
Rebecki ITD
Ricci / Loopy over 2.5

+253
mick420
mick420
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11.11.2023 | 12:14 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3778th

Buzukja vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers
Put your money where the skill is, and it's undoubtedly with Jamall Emmers against Dennis Buzukja. Emmers is a class above, a fighter with finesse, speed, and ring intelligence that Dennis can only dream of. Buzukja might as well bring a map into the octagon because he's going to need directions to keep up with Emmers' movements. It's like watching a seasoned pro taking on an amateur; Dennis is about to get a firsthand lesson in the difference between hype and genuine talent. Good luck to Buzukja; he'll need it, and maybe a post-fight strategy guide too.

mick420
mick420
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11.11.2023 | 12:18 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3778th

Van vs. Borjas
Joshua Van
When it comes to the impending clash between Joshua Van and Kevin Borjas, it's a no-brainer where the smart money lies. Van is a powerhouse in the ring, wielding a striking game that's light years ahead of Borjas. It's almost comical to think that Borjas stands a chance – it's like pitting a lion against a house cat. Borjas may have his dreams of victory, but Van is about to shatter them like glass. This fight isn't a test for Van; it's a showcase of his dominance, and poor Borjas is simply the sacrificial lamb stepping into the lion's den. Get ready for a masterclass in the sweet science, with Van effortlessly dismantling Borjas, reminding everyone why he's in a league of his own.

mick420
mick420
  • Member Since: 2023.05.04
  • Predictions:  501  |  62.9%
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  • Post Score: -159

11.11.2023 | 12:26 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3778th

Kang vs. Castañeda
John Castañeda
Betting on John Castaneda over Kyung Ho Kang is the smart move – it's like putting your money on a thoroughbred against a donkey. Castaneda is a force to be reckoned with, boasting a skill set that makes Kang look like he's still figuring out the basics. Kang might have some past victories, but it's clear he's out of his depth against Castaneda's striking precision and ground game. This fight is less of a competition and more of a showcase for Castaneda's superiority; Kang is in for a rude awakening as he faces the harsh reality that he's just a stepping stone in Castaneda's ascent to greatness. Save your sympathy for Kang; he's going to need it after this one-sided beatdown.

Rah123
Rah123
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
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11.11.2023 | 12:27 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3853rd

Looking to when the donkey beats the thouroughbred

"Positivity is a positive"

mick420
mick420
  • Member Since: 2023.05.04
  • Predictions:  501  |  62.9%
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  • Post Score: -159

11.11.2023 | 12:31 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3778th

Gordon vs. Madsen
Mark Madsen
When it comes to the clash between Olympic silver medalist Mark Madsen and Jared Gordon, the outcome is as clear as day, and any savvy bettor knows it. Madsen's pedigree as a silver medalist speaks volumes, and Gordon, well, he's just another run-of-the-mill fighter in Madsen's way. It's like pitting a thoroughbred against a hobby horse. Gordon might have some wins under his belt, but facing Madsen is an entirely different league – it's Olympic-level prowess versus mediocrity. Get ready for a masterclass performance as Madsen effortlessly dismantles Gordon, leaving no doubt that the silver medalist is in a league of his own, and Gordon is merely a footnote in Madsen's journey to dominance.

mick420
mick420
  • Member Since: 2023.05.04
  • Predictions:  501  |  62.9%
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  • Post Score: -159

11.11.2023 | 12:37 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3778th

Sadykhov vs. Borshchev
Nazim Sadykhov
Putting your money on Nazim Sadykhov over Viacheslav Borshchev is the epitome of a no-brainer. Sadykhov is a force to be reckoned with, possessing a skill set that makes Borshchev's abilities seem almost laughable. It's like expecting a candle to outshine the sun. Borshchev might have dreams of victory, but facing Sadykhov is a reality check he's not prepared for. This bout isn't a competition; it's a showcase of Sadykhov's dominance, and Borshchev is just an unfortunate stepping stone in his path to victory. Save your sympathy for Borshchev; he's going to need it after Sadykhov effortlessly dismantles him in the ring.

Page 37


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